Effects of population growth on basic infrastructure for basic services provision in Bojanala Platinum District Municipality: econometric analysis of panel data.
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Date
2020
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Abstract
This thesis presents estimation of fixed effect panel data regression analysis on the effects of population growth on infrastructure for basic services provision by the Bojanala Platinum District Municipality. We discuss estimation techniques for both fixed and random effects panel data regression models and ultimately the fixed effect model is applied. The study focused on electricity and water infrastructure with four racial groups being studied separately to determine their individual effects on infrastructure for basic services. the study objectives are to understand the effects of population growth on infrastructure for basic service provision and to explore remedies and responses to population growth and infrastructure challenges in the Bojanala Platinum District Municipality. To effectively study these objectives, a panel data analysis approach is applied. The results showed mixed results amongst racial groups and their relation and effects to infrastructure with African and White population groups growth showing that they negatively affect infrastructure for basic service provision.
It is evident that population growth negatively affects infrastructure for the provision of basic services more especially for the African and White population groups. The study further concludes that economic growth and unemployment do not have any negative impact on infrastructure for electricity provision while an increase in people in poverty would result in an increased demand for basic infrastructure for electricity connection. Furthermore, in the Bojanala Platinum District Municipality, unemployment, economic growth and poverty do not impact basic infrastructure demand for the provision of water service.
Finally, there are various issues that affect infrastructure for basic service and provision thereof in various local municipalities within the Bojanala Platinum District Municipality. Some are negative and some positive and as indicated above, the focus of this study was primarily on population growth and infrastructure for basic service provision, but not on other factors contributing to the provision or none-provision of infrastructure for basic services.
Description
Masters Degree. University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban.